STAGE 1: Describe uncertainty
Concept: A useful risk statement links cause, event and effect.
Task: Write six cause-event-effect risks and distinguish them from current issues.
Acceptance: Avoid labels such as bad communication without a specific mechanism.

My assumptions:

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STAGE 2: Assess consistently
Concept: Scores are a prioritization aid, not precise probabilities.
Task: Define likelihood and impact scales and apply them to the supplied cases.
Acceptance: State assumptions and do not add ordinal scores as monetary losses.

My assumptions:

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STAGE 3: Plan responses
Concept: A response needs an owner, trigger and resources.
Task: Choose avoidance, mitigation, transfer or acceptance actions for the top risks.
Acceptance: Each action changes likelihood or impact in an explainable way.

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STAGE 4: Monitor and escalate
Concept: Risk reviews ask whether assumptions have changed.
Task: Create a weekly review agenda and an escalation note for a triggered venue risk.
Acceptance: Move a realized event into issue management while retaining the risk history.

My assumptions:

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